XRP 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved XRP 4-hour windows, 50% closed UP and 50% DOWN; the median move was 0.0027; median volume $1.8k. Across the last 90 days, 261 windows resolved, 48% of them UP.

The live XRP 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowxrp-updown-4h-1789790400
Price to beat1.4175
Last price · Binance1.4208
Move+0.0033
Book leaderUP 60%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
50% / 50%
UP, last 90 days
48% of 261
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
0.0027
Median volume
$1.8k

> recent results

Resolved XRP 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC1.23211.2678+0.0357UP$3.4kOpen
2026-08-20 20:00 UTC1.26061.2321-0.0285DOWN$14.8kOpen
2026-08-20 16:00 UTC1.18991.2606+0.0706UP$4.9kOpen
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC1.11131.1899+0.0787UP$3.5kOpen
2026-08-20 08:00 UTC1.09301.1113+0.0183UP$6.5kOpen
2026-08-20 04:00 UTC1.10541.0930-0.0124DOWN$2.5kOpen
2026-08-20 00:00 UTC1.06731.1054+0.0381UP$3.1kOpen
2026-08-19 20:00 UTC1.06731.0673-0.0000DOWN$4.1kOpen
2026-08-19 16:00 UTC1.00491.0673+0.0624UP$4.2kOpen
2026-08-19 12:00 UTC1.00261.0049+0.0023UP$8.2kOpen
2026-08-19 08:00 UTC0.99931.0026+0.0033UP$3.7kOpen
2026-08-19 04:00 UTC1.00120.9993-0.0019DOWN$3.6kOpen
2026-08-19 00:00 UTC1.00211.0012-0.0009DOWN$7.9kOpen
2026-08-18 20:00 UTC1.00321.0021-0.0010DOWN$3.7kOpen
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC0.99761.0032+0.0056UP$2.9kOpen
2026-08-18 12:00 UTC0.99550.9976+0.0021UP$1.7kOpen
2026-08-18 08:00 UTC0.99020.9955+0.0053UP$1.1kOpen
2026-08-18 04:00 UTC1.00230.9902-0.0121DOWN$1.4kOpen
2026-08-18 00:00 UTC1.00061.0023+0.0017UP$1.6kOpen
2026-08-17 20:00 UTC1.00581.0006-0.0052DOWN$8.5kOpen

> other XRP windows

XRP 5mXRP 15mXRP 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how XRP 4h windows work

Every XRP 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

XRP pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open XRP 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing