XRP 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved XRP 4-hour windows, 52% closed UP and 48% DOWN; the median move was 0.0041; median volume $983. Across the last 90 days, 155 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live XRP 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowxrp-updown-4h-1785744000
Price to beat1.0668
Last price · Binance1.0658
Move-0.0010
Book leaderDOWN 84%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
52% / 48%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 155
Current streak
2 × DOWN
Median move
0.0041
Median volume
$983

> recent results

Resolved XRP 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-03 08:00 UTC1.06991.0668-0.0031DOWN$283Open
2026-08-03 04:00 UTC1.08581.0699-0.0159DOWN$1.3kOpen
2026-08-03 00:00 UTC1.08091.0858+0.0049UP$740Open
2026-08-02 20:00 UTC1.07921.0809+0.0017UP$813Open
2026-08-02 16:00 UTC1.07851.0792+0.0007UP$205Open
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC1.08261.0785-0.0041DOWN$420Open
2026-08-02 08:00 UTC1.07641.0826+0.0062UP$322Open
2026-08-02 04:00 UTC1.05961.0764+0.0168UP$336Open
2026-08-02 00:00 UTC1.05161.0596+0.0080UP$207Open
2026-08-01 20:00 UTC1.06191.0516-0.0104DOWN$635Open
2026-08-01 16:00 UTC1.06281.0619-0.0009DOWN$683Open
2026-08-01 12:00 UTC1.06101.0628+0.0018UP$98Open
2026-08-01 08:00 UTC1.06501.0610-0.0040DOWN$422Open
2026-08-01 04:00 UTC1.06081.0650+0.0042UP$202Open
2026-08-01 00:00 UTC1.06061.0608+0.0002UP$446Open
2026-07-31 20:00 UTC1.05931.0606+0.0013UP$156Open
2026-07-31 16:00 UTC1.07141.0593-0.0121DOWN$3.3kOpen
2026-07-31 12:00 UTC1.07851.0714-0.0071DOWN$775Open
2026-07-31 08:00 UTC1.08061.0785-0.0021DOWN$339Open
2026-07-31 04:00 UTC1.08201.0806-0.0015DOWN$508Open

> other XRP windows

XRP 5mXRP 15mXRP 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how XRP 4h windows work

Every XRP 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

XRP pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open XRP 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing