XRP 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved XRP 4-hour windows, 44% closed UP and 56% DOWN; the median move was 0.0058; median volume $273. Across the last 90 days, 526 windows resolved, 48% of them UP.

The live XRP 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowxrp-updown-4h-1793692800
First Chainlink tick—
Last price—
Move vs Chainlink—
Book leader—
Closes in--:--

Waiting for the first prices of this window

Price line: no feed yet. Dashed line: our first Chainlink tick — reference only, not the settlement price.

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
44% / 56%
UP, last 90 days
48% of 526
Current streak
3 × DOWN
Median move
0.0058
Median volume
$273

> recent results

Resolved XRP 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-01 04:00 UTC1.24961.2478-0.0017DOWN$501Open
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC1.25001.2496-0.0005DOWN$428Open
2026-10-31 20:00 UTC1.25091.2500-0.0009DOWN$283Open
2026-10-31 16:00 UTC1.24791.2509+0.0031UP$310Open
2026-10-31 12:00 UTC1.24451.2479+0.0034UP$156Open
2026-10-31 08:00 UTC1.24861.2445-0.0042DOWN$344Open
2026-10-31 04:00 UTC1.25451.2486-0.0058DOWN$335Open
2026-10-31 00:00 UTC1.24871.2545+0.0057UP$246Open
2026-10-30 20:00 UTC1.25301.2487-0.0043DOWN$466Open
2026-10-30 16:00 UTC1.24491.2530+0.0081UP$229Open
2026-10-30 12:00 UTC1.24901.2449-0.0040DOWN$89Open
2026-10-30 08:00 UTC1.24441.2490+0.0046UP$451Open
2026-10-30 04:00 UTC1.23491.2444+0.0095UP$762Open
2026-10-30 00:00 UTC1.28081.2349-0.0459DOWN$807Open
2026-10-29 20:00 UTC1.30851.2808-0.0277DOWN$347Open
2026-10-29 16:00 UTC1.28991.3085+0.0187UP$228Open
2026-10-29 12:00 UTC1.28711.2899+0.0028UP$258Open
2026-10-29 08:00 UTC1.28851.2871-0.0014DOWN$135Open
2026-10-29 04:00 UTC1.32441.2885-0.0359DOWN$222Open
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC1.33461.3244-0.0102DOWN$180Open

> other XRP windows

XRP 5mXRP 15mXRP 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how XRP 4h windows work

Every XRP 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

XRP pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open XRP 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing