XRP Up or Down Markets

XRP up or down markets on Polymarket: 5-minute, 15-minute, 1-hour and 4-hour windows, each with a live price to beat and how recent windows resolved.

XRP 5-minute up or down chartLatest UPUP 56% of last 50Median move 0.0012 XRP 15-minute up or down chartLatest DOWNUP 52% of last 50Median move 0.0024 XRP 1-hour up or down chartLatest DOWNUP 52% of last 50Median move 0.0031 XRP 4-hour up or down chartLatest DOWNUP 44% of last 50Median move 0.0058

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> the four windows side by side

Every XRP window settles against the open Polymarket recorded for it. Move figures are medians of the last resolved windows; the 90-day column counts every window retained for that market.
Window	Per day	UP, last 50	UP, 90 days	Median move	Median volume
5m	288	56% of 50	49% of 25,889	0.0012	$54
15m	96	52% of 50	50% of 8,629	0.0024	$59
1h	24	52% of 50	51% of 2,155	0.0031	$424
4h	6	44% of 50	48% of 519	0.0058	$273

Over the last 90 days the 1-hour window closed UP most often — 51% of 2,155 resolved windows — while the 4-hour window closed UP 48% of 519. Both sit near the coin flip these markets are priced around; the gap is a record, not an edge.

A typical 5-minute XRP window settles 0.0012 away from its open against 0.0058 on the 4-hour window, roughly 4.9× the distance for 48× fewer windows a day.

Median volume is highest on the 1-hour window at $424 per window, and the 24 windows it runs each day are where most XRP up or down flow sits.

Read how up or down markets resolve.

Compare plans to see which of the 28 markets each tier unlocks.