XRP 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved XRP 15-minute windows, 54% closed UP and 46% DOWN; the median move was 0.0063; median volume $15. Across the last 90 days, 4,169 windows resolved, 49% of them UP.

The live XRP 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowxrp-updown-15m-1789801200
Price to beat1.4212
Last price · Binance1.4216
Move+0.0004
Book leaderDOWN 54%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
54% / 46%
UP, last 90 days
49% of 4169
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
0.0063
Median volume
$15

> recent results

Resolved XRP 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 02:45 UTC1.2967†1.2929-0.0039DOWN$4Open
2026-08-21 02:30 UTC1.28751.2967+0.0092UP$7Open
2026-08-21 02:15 UTC1.29571.2875-0.0082DOWN$18Open
2026-08-21 02:00 UTC1.28711.2957+0.0086UP$10Open
2026-08-21 01:45 UTC1.28891.2871-0.0018DOWN$11Open
2026-08-21 01:30 UTC1.27501.2889+0.0139UP$62Open
2026-08-21 01:15 UTC1.26511.2750+0.0100UP—Open
2026-08-21 01:00 UTC1.26181.2651+0.0033UP$34Open
2026-08-21 00:45 UTC1.26651.2618-0.0048DOWN$15Open
2026-08-21 00:30 UTC1.26991.2665-0.0034DOWN$27Open
2026-08-21 00:15 UTC1.2678†1.2699+0.0021UP$34Open
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC1.26741.2678+0.0004UP$34Open
2026-08-20 23:45 UTC1.27311.2674-0.0057DOWN$10Open
2026-08-20 23:30 UTC1.26581.2731+0.0074UP$29Open
2026-08-20 23:15 UTC1.25601.2658+0.0098UP$9Open
2026-08-20 23:00 UTC1.25671.2560-0.0007DOWN$10Open
2026-08-20 22:45 UTC1.25991.2567-0.0031DOWN$14Open
2026-08-20 22:30 UTC1.25581.2599+0.0041UP$5Open
2026-08-20 22:15 UTC1.25761.2558-0.0018DOWN$15Open
2026-08-20 22:00 UTC1.26421.2576-0.0066DOWN—Open

> other XRP windows

XRP 5mXRP 1hXRP 4h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 15m up or downEthereum 15m up or downSolana 15m up or downDogecoin 15m up or downBNB 15m up or downHyperliquid 15m up or down

> how XRP 15m windows work

Every XRP 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the spot price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

XRP pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open XRP 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing