Ethereum (ETH) 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Ethereum 15-minute windows, 48% closed UP and 52% DOWN; the median move was 2.3; median volume $551. Across the last 90 days, 2,621 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live ETH 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windoweth-updown-15m-1785838500
Price to beat1,852.9
Last price · Binance1,855.7
Move+2.8
Book leaderUP 89%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
48% / 52%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 2621
Current streak
2 × DOWN
Median move
2.3
Median volume
$551

> recent results

Resolved Ethereum 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-04 08:30 UTC1,860.81,858.5-2.3DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 08:15 UTC1,861.91,860.8-1.1DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 08:00 UTC1,857.81,861.9+4.1UP$15Open
2026-08-04 07:45 UTC1,856.11,857.8+1.7UP$2.8kOpen
2026-08-04 07:30 UTC1,853.61,856.1+2.5UP—Open
2026-08-04 07:15 UTC1,855.21,853.6-1.6DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 07:00 UTC1,854.81,855.2+0.4UP$55Open
2026-08-04 06:45 UTC1,860.91,854.8-6.1DOWN$2.0kOpen
2026-08-04 06:30 UTC1,862.01,860.9-1.2DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 06:15 UTC1,862.71,862.0-0.7DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 06:00 UTC1,863.91,862.7-1.2DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 05:45 UTC1,863.21,863.9+0.7UP$5.2kOpen
2026-08-04 05:30 UTC1,863.01,863.2+0.2UP—Open
2026-08-04 05:15 UTC1,866.21,863.0-3.2DOWN$20Open
2026-08-04 05:00 UTC1,869.31,866.2-3.1DOWN$15Open
2026-08-04 04:45 UTC1,864.31,869.3+5.0UP$2.7kOpen
2026-08-04 04:30 UTC1,861.31,864.3+3.0UP—Open
2026-08-04 04:15 UTC1,862.31,861.3-0.9DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 04:00 UTC1,863.21,862.3-0.9DOWN—Open
2026-08-04 03:45 UTC1,860.41,863.2+2.8UP$2.6kOpen

> other Ethereum windows

Ethereum 5mEthereum 1hEthereum 4h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 15m up or downSolana 15m up or downXRP 15m up or downDogecoin 15m up or downBNB 15m up or downHyperliquid 15m up or down

> how Ethereum 15m windows work

Every Ethereum 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the spot price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Ethereum pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Ethereum 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing