Ethereum (ETH) 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Ethereum 15-minute windows, 50% closed UP and 50% DOWN; the median move was 2.8; median volume $63. Across the last 90 days, 8,629 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live ETH 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windoweth-updown-15m-1793699100
Price to beat2,264.3
Last price · Binance2,267.5
Move+3.2
Book leaderDOWN 57%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
50% / 50%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 8629
Current streak
4 × UP
Median move
2.8
Median volume
$63

> recent results

Resolved Ethereum 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-03 09:45 UTC2,259.92,264.3+4.4UP$188Open
2026-11-03 09:30 UTC2,257.92,259.9+2.0UP$159Open
2026-11-03 09:15 UTC2,253.52,257.9+4.4UP$30Open
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC2,248.82,253.5+4.7UP$22Open
2026-11-03 08:45 UTC2,251.02,248.8-2.2DOWN$8Open
2026-11-03 08:30 UTC2,256.52,251.0-5.5DOWN$5Open
2026-11-03 08:15 UTC2,254.42,256.5+2.1UP$74Open
2026-11-03 08:00 UTC2,252.52,254.4+2.0UP$33Open
2026-11-03 07:45 UTC2,253.52,252.5-1.0DOWN$6Open
2026-11-03 07:30 UTC2,243.52,253.5+10.0UP$118Open
2026-11-03 07:15 UTC2,242.42,243.5+1.1UP$2Open
2026-11-03 07:00 UTC2,246.22,242.4-3.8DOWN$23Open
2026-11-03 06:45 UTC2,248.62,246.2-2.3DOWN$15Open
2026-11-03 06:30 UTC2,239.92,248.6+8.6UP$358Open
2026-11-03 06:15 UTC2,244.82,239.9-4.8DOWN$324Open
2026-11-03 06:00 UTC2,248.52,244.8-3.7DOWN$40Open
2026-11-03 05:45 UTC2,248.42,248.5+0.1UP$15Open
2026-11-03 05:30 UTC2,248.82,248.4-0.5DOWN$575Open
2026-11-03 05:15 UTC2,253.62,248.8-4.7DOWN$610Open
2026-11-03 05:00 UTC2,252.72,253.6+0.8UP$33Open

> other Ethereum windows

Ethereum 5mEthereum 1hEthereum 4h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 15m up or downSolana 15m up or downXRP 15m up or downDogecoin 15m up or downBNB 15m up or downHyperliquid 15m up or down

> how Ethereum 15m windows work

Every Ethereum 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the settlement price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Ethereum pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open Ethereum 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing