Ethereum (ETH) 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Ethereum 15-minute windows, 58% closed UP and 42% DOWN; the median move was 5.3; median volume $79. Across the last 90 days, 4,230 windows resolved, 51% of them UP.

The live ETH 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windoweth-updown-15m-1789804800
Price to beat2,626.1
Last price · Binance2,633.2
Move+7.1
Book leaderUP 99%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
58% / 42%
UP, last 90 days
51% of 4230
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
5.3
Median volume
$79

> recent results

Resolved Ethereum 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 02:45 UTC2,358.42,354.6-3.8DOWN$77Open
2026-08-21 02:30 UTC2,353.02,358.4+5.3UP$54Open
2026-08-21 02:15 UTC2,358.32,353.0-5.3DOWN$146Open
2026-08-21 02:00 UTC2,356.52,358.3+1.8UP$68Open
2026-08-21 01:45 UTC2,352.02,356.5+4.5UP$179Open
2026-08-21 01:30 UTC2,344.72,352.0+7.3UP$156Open
2026-08-21 01:15 UTC2,340.02,344.7+4.7UP$89Open
2026-08-21 01:00 UTC2,337.12,340.0+2.9UP$78Open
2026-08-21 00:45 UTC2,336.82,337.1+0.3UP$188Open
2026-08-21 00:30 UTC2,336.92,336.8-0.1DOWN$321Open
2026-08-21 00:15 UTC2,326.22,336.9+10.7UP$60Open
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC2,325.22,326.2+1.1UP$119Open
2026-08-20 23:45 UTC2,330.82,325.2-5.7DOWN$348Open
2026-08-20 23:30 UTC2,321.92,330.8+8.9UP$59Open
2026-08-20 23:15 UTC2,313.72,321.9+8.3UP$51Open
2026-08-20 23:00 UTC2,311.42,313.7+2.3UP$66Open
2026-08-20 22:45 UTC2,314.22,311.4-2.8DOWN$46Open
2026-08-20 22:30 UTC2,311.52,314.2+2.7UP$101Open
2026-08-20 22:15 UTC2,318.12,311.5-6.7DOWN$81Open
2026-08-20 22:00 UTC2,318.82,318.1-0.7DOWN$79Open

> other Ethereum windows

Ethereum 5mEthereum 1hEthereum 4h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 15m up or downSolana 15m up or downXRP 15m up or downDogecoin 15m up or downBNB 15m up or downHyperliquid 15m up or down

> how Ethereum 15m windows work

Every Ethereum 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the spot price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Ethereum pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Ethereum 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

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