Ethereum (ETH) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Ethereum 4-hour windows, 44% closed UP and 56% DOWN; the median move was 7.5; median volume $3.4k. Across the last 90 days, 155 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live ETH 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windoweth-updown-4h-1785744000
Price to beat1,841.6
Last price · Binance1,846.1
Move+4.4
Book leaderUP 66%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
44% / 56%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 155
Current streak
2 × DOWN
Median move
7.5
Median volume
$3.4k

> recent results

Resolved Ethereum 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-03 08:00 UTC1,854.81,841.6-13.2DOWN$3.1kOpen
2026-08-03 04:00 UTC1,883.31,854.8-28.5DOWN$892Open
2026-08-03 00:00 UTC1,880.11,883.3+3.2UP$227Open
2026-08-02 20:00 UTC1,856.91,880.1+23.2UP$886Open
2026-08-02 16:00 UTC1,850.71,856.9+6.2UP$619Open
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC1,874.21,850.7-23.5DOWN$2.5kOpen
2026-08-02 08:00 UTC1,875.51,874.2-1.3DOWN$1.0kOpen
2026-08-02 04:00 UTC1,843.21,875.5+32.2UP$1.8kOpen
2026-08-02 00:00 UTC1,835.61,843.2+7.7UP$271Open
2026-08-01 20:00 UTC1,868.41,835.6-32.8DOWN$3.8kOpen
2026-08-01 16:00 UTC1,865.11,868.4+3.3UP$2.8kOpen
2026-08-01 12:00 UTC1,867.91,865.1-2.8DOWN$1.8kOpen
2026-08-01 08:00 UTC1,868.01,867.9-0.1DOWN$2.2kOpen
2026-08-01 04:00 UTC1,860.61,868.0+7.4UP$1.5kOpen
2026-08-01 00:00 UTC1,866.21,860.6-5.6DOWN$5.5kOpen
2026-07-31 20:00 UTC1,860.61,866.2+5.6UP$3.7kOpen
2026-07-31 16:00 UTC1,882.41,860.6-21.8DOWN$1.9kOpen
2026-07-31 12:00 UTC1,888.31,882.4-5.9DOWN$1.3kOpen
2026-07-31 08:00 UTC1,906.91,888.3-18.6DOWN$1.7kOpen
2026-07-31 04:00 UTC1,916.81,906.9-9.8DOWN$1.0kOpen

> other Ethereum windows

Ethereum 5mEthereum 15mEthereum 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how Ethereum 4h windows work

Every Ethereum 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Ethereum pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Ethereum 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

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