Ethereum (ETH) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Ethereum 4-hour windows, 60% closed UP and 40% DOWN; the median move was 9.3; median volume $1.8k. Across the last 90 days, 526 windows resolved, 56% of them UP.

The live ETH 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windoweth-updown-4h-1793692800
First Chainlink tick—
Last price—
Move vs Chainlink—
Book leader—
Closes in--:--

Waiting for the first prices of this window

Price line: no feed yet. Dashed line: our first Chainlink tick — reference only, not the settlement price.

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
60% / 40%
UP, last 90 days
56% of 526
Current streak
6 × UP
Median move
9.3
Median volume
$1.8k

> recent results

Resolved Ethereum 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-01 04:00 UTC2,252.52,265.0+12.5UP$3.3kOpen
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC2,251.32,252.5+1.2UP$2.3kOpen
2026-10-31 20:00 UTC2,247.62,251.3+3.6UP$860Open
2026-10-31 16:00 UTC2,245.52,247.6+2.2UP$1.6kOpen
2026-10-31 12:00 UTC2,240.82,245.5+4.7UP$1.9kOpen
2026-10-31 08:00 UTC2,236.62,240.8+4.2UP$694Open
2026-10-31 04:00 UTC2,241.32,236.6-4.7DOWN$1.9kOpen
2026-10-31 00:00 UTC2,235.42,241.3+5.9UP$1.2kOpen
2026-10-30 20:00 UTC2,223.92,235.4+11.5UP$2.6kOpen
2026-10-30 16:00 UTC2,233.62,223.9-9.7DOWN$4.4kOpen
2026-10-30 12:00 UTC2,233.72,233.6—UP$5.2kOpen
2026-10-30 08:00 UTC2,232.82,233.7+0.9UP$1.8kOpen
2026-10-30 04:00 UTC2,248.72,232.8-15.9DOWN$2.7kOpen
2026-10-30 00:00 UTC2,334.22,248.7-85.6DOWN$2.2kOpen
2026-10-29 20:00 UTC2,366.12,334.2-31.8DOWN$1.8kOpen
2026-10-29 16:00 UTC2,322.32,366.1+43.8UP$2.5kOpen
2026-10-29 12:00 UTC2,307.32,322.3+15.0UP$1.1kOpen
2026-10-29 08:00 UTC2,306.02,307.3+1.3UP$1.3kOpen
2026-10-29 04:00 UTC2,357.02,306.0-50.9DOWN$827Open
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC2,369.62,357.0-12.6DOWN$2.1kOpen

> other Ethereum windows

Ethereum 5mEthereum 15mEthereum 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how Ethereum 4h windows work

Every Ethereum 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Ethereum pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open Ethereum 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing