Ethereum (ETH) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Ethereum 4-hour windows, 60% closed UP and 40% DOWN; the median move was 4.1; median volume $6.3k. Across the last 90 days, 261 windows resolved, 53% of them UP.

The live ETH 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windoweth-updown-4h-1789790400
Price to beat2,619.3
Last price · Binance2,616.0
Move-3.3
Book leaderDOWN 65%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
60% / 40%
UP, last 90 days
53% of 261
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
4.1
Median volume
$6.3k

> recent results

Resolved Ethereum 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC2,322.62,326.2+3.6UP$8.8kOpen
2026-08-20 20:00 UTC2,324.92,322.6-2.3DOWN$13.2kOpen
2026-08-20 16:00 UTC2,294.82,324.9+30.1UP$26.7kOpen
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC2,250.22,294.8+44.5UP$11.7kOpen
2026-08-20 08:00 UTC2,249.42,250.2+0.8UP$15.9kOpen
2026-08-20 04:00 UTC2,251.52,249.4-2.1DOWN$6.4kOpen
2026-08-20 00:00 UTC2,101.42,251.5+150.1UP$18.3kOpen
2026-08-19 20:00 UTC2,084.62,101.4+16.9UP$35.0kOpen
2026-08-19 16:00 UTC1,921.42,084.6+163.2UP$9.5kOpen
2026-08-19 12:00 UTC1,914.21,921.4+7.2UP$10.3kOpen
2026-08-19 08:00 UTC1,910.41,914.2+3.8UP$12.1kOpen
2026-08-19 04:00 UTC1,916.51,910.4-6.1DOWN$10.2kOpen
2026-08-19 00:00 UTC1,912.11,916.5+4.4UP$13.8kOpen
2026-08-18 20:00 UTC1,916.21,912.1-4.1DOWN$12.1kOpen
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC1,901.21,916.2+15.1UP$11.2kOpen
2026-08-18 12:00 UTC1,896.91,901.2+4.3UP$2.2kOpen
2026-08-18 08:00 UTC1,892.71,896.9+4.2UP$4.8kOpen
2026-08-18 04:00 UTC1,911.91,892.7-19.2DOWN$5.6kOpen
2026-08-18 00:00 UTC1,905.61,911.9+6.3UP$11.8kOpen
2026-08-17 20:00 UTC1,911.31,905.6-5.7DOWN$25.9kOpen

> other Ethereum windows

Ethereum 5mEthereum 15mEthereum 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how Ethereum 4h windows work

Every Ethereum 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Ethereum pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Ethereum 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing