Solana (SOL) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Solana 4-hour windows, 56% closed UP and 44% DOWN; the median move was 0.25; median volume $1.8k. Across the last 90 days, 261 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live SOL 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowsol-updown-4h-1789790400
Price to beat113.21
Last price · Binance112.41
Move-0.80
Book leaderDOWN 83%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
56% / 44%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 261
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
0.25
Median volume
$1.8k

> recent results

Resolved Solana 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC87.2987.63+0.34UP$3.5kOpen
2026-08-20 20:00 UTC87.3187.29-0.02DOWN$5.1kOpen
2026-08-20 16:00 UTC87.1687.31+0.15UP$3.7kOpen
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC86.1087.16+1.06UP$3.0kOpen
2026-08-20 08:00 UTC84.4286.10+1.68UP$8.8kOpen
2026-08-20 04:00 UTC85.3484.42-0.92DOWN$5.5kOpen
2026-08-20 00:00 UTC82.3485.34+3.00UP$6.3kOpen
2026-08-19 20:00 UTC81.7982.34+0.55UP$19.3kOpen
2026-08-19 16:00 UTC77.4881.79+4.32UP$6.5kOpen
2026-08-19 12:00 UTC76.8877.48+0.60UP$2.5kOpen
2026-08-19 08:00 UTC76.9276.88-0.05DOWN$7.0kOpen
2026-08-19 04:00 UTC77.0076.92-0.08DOWN$4.5kOpen
2026-08-19 00:00 UTC77.1377.00-0.13DOWN$7.7kOpen
2026-08-18 20:00 UTC77.1377.13-0.00DOWN$7.4kOpen
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC76.2477.13+0.89UP$2.9kOpen
2026-08-18 12:00 UTC76.0276.24+0.22UP$762Open
2026-08-18 08:00 UTC75.4276.02+0.60UP$2.0kOpen
2026-08-18 04:00 UTC75.9575.42-0.52DOWN$600Open
2026-08-18 00:00 UTC75.7575.95+0.20UP$1.3kOpen
2026-08-17 20:00 UTC76.0375.75-0.28DOWN$14.6kOpen

> other Solana windows

> same window, other assets

> how Solana 4h windows work

Every Solana 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Solana pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Solana 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.