Hyperliquid (HYPE) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Hyperliquid 4-hour windows, 50% closed UP and 50% DOWN; the median move was 0.416; median volume $15. Across the last 90 days, 155 windows resolved, 49% of them UP.

The live HYPE 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowhype-updown-4h-1785744000
Price to beat52.337
Last price · Pyth52.951
Move+0.613
Book leaderUP 94%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Pyth. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
50% / 50%
UP, last 90 days
49% of 155
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
0.416
Median volume
$15

> recent results

Resolved Hyperliquid 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-03 08:00 UTC52.18852.337+0.149UP$6Open
2026-08-03 04:00 UTC52.55952.188-0.370DOWN$15Open
2026-08-03 00:00 UTC52.70652.559-0.147DOWN$52Open
2026-08-02 20:00 UTC51.36252.706+1.344UP$15Open
2026-08-02 16:00 UTC51.26651.362+0.095UP$5.3kOpen
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC51.87551.266-0.608DOWN$50Open
2026-08-02 08:00 UTC52.74951.875-0.874DOWN$12Open
2026-08-02 04:00 UTC52.14952.749+0.600UP$15Open
2026-08-02 00:00 UTC52.03452.149+0.115UP$45Open
2026-08-01 20:00 UTC52.41152.034-0.377DOWN$5Open
2026-08-01 16:00 UTC52.13152.411+0.279UP$1.2kOpen
2026-08-01 12:00 UTC51.84652.131+0.285UP$3Open
2026-08-01 08:00 UTC52.26951.846-0.423DOWN—Open
2026-08-01 04:00 UTC52.50152.269-0.232DOWN$15Open
2026-08-01 00:00 UTC52.30352.501+0.198UP—Open
2026-07-31 20:00 UTC54.24552.303-1.941DOWN—Open
2026-07-31 16:00 UTC54.91954.245-0.674DOWN$189Open
2026-07-31 12:00 UTC54.51054.919+0.409UP—Open
2026-07-31 08:00 UTC55.04554.510-0.535DOWN$30Open
2026-07-31 04:00 UTC55.82555.045-0.780DOWN$10Open

> other Hyperliquid windows

Hyperliquid 5mHyperliquid 15mHyperliquid 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or down

> how Hyperliquid 4h windows work

Every Hyperliquid 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Hyperliquid pages read from Pyth Hermes, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

HYPE has no Binance spot market and no Chainlink feed, so the price line is Pyth plus the price-to-beat feed and the charts simply hide the missing series.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Hyperliquid 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing