Hyperliquid (HYPE) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Hyperliquid 4-hour windows, 50% closed UP and 50% DOWN; the median move was 0.575; median volume $14. Across the last 90 days, 526 windows resolved, 53% of them UP.

The live HYPE 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowhype-updown-4h-1793692800
First Chainlink tick—
Last price—
Move vs Chainlink—
Book leader—
Closes in--:--

Waiting for the first prices of this window

Price line: no feed yet. Dashed line: our first Chainlink tick — reference only, not the settlement price.

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
50% / 50%
UP, last 90 days
53% of 526
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
0.575
Median volume
$14

> recent results

Resolved Hyperliquid 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-01 04:00 UTC87.87387.515-0.357DOWN$5Open
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC87.90287.873—UP$16Open
2026-10-31 20:00 UTC87.37887.902+0.524UP$5Open
2026-10-31 16:00 UTC87.38587.378—UP$38Open
2026-10-31 12:00 UTC88.08887.385-0.703DOWN$62Open
2026-10-31 08:00 UTC89.15088.088-1.062DOWN$5Open
2026-10-31 04:00 UTC89.85789.150-0.706DOWN$38Open
2026-10-31 00:00 UTC90.47989.857-0.623DOWN$5Open
2026-10-30 20:00 UTC92.20090.479-1.721DOWN$30Open
2026-10-30 16:00 UTC91.73492.200+0.466UP$5Open
2026-10-30 12:00 UTC91.47391.734+0.261UP$21Open
2026-10-30 08:00 UTC92.49591.473-1.023DOWN—Open
2026-10-30 04:00 UTC88.81392.495+3.682UP$5Open
2026-10-30 00:00 UTC93.90888.813-5.095DOWN$55Open
2026-10-29 20:00 UTC93.88693.908—DOWN$77Open
2026-10-29 16:00 UTC87.86393.886+6.023UP$45Open
2026-10-29 12:00 UTC78.76787.863+9.096UP$5Open
2026-10-29 08:00 UTC78.30378.767+0.464UP$5Open
2026-10-29 04:00 UTC80.59878.303-2.295DOWN$5Open
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC81.53380.598-0.935DOWN$5Open

> other Hyperliquid windows

Hyperliquid 5mHyperliquid 15mHyperliquid 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or down

> how Hyperliquid 4h windows work

Every Hyperliquid 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Hyperliquid pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open Hyperliquid 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing