Hyperliquid (HYPE) 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Hyperliquid 4-hour windows, 48% closed UP and 52% DOWN; the median move was 0.399; median volume $153. Across the last 90 days, 261 windows resolved, 51% of them UP.

The live HYPE 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowhype-updown-4h-1789790400
Price to beat93.462
Last price · Pyth80.728
Move-12.734
Book leaderDOWN 86%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Pyth. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
48% / 52%
UP, last 90 days
51% of 261
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
0.399
Median volume
$153

> recent results

Resolved Hyperliquid 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC72.55273.652+1.100UP$80Open
2026-08-20 20:00 UTC73.19072.552-0.638DOWN$427Open
2026-08-20 16:00 UTC71.92173.190+1.269UP$320Open
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC72.01671.921-0.095DOWN$720Open
2026-08-20 08:00 UTC69.39272.016+2.624UP$204Open
2026-08-20 04:00 UTC69.64269.392-0.249DOWN$902Open
2026-08-20 00:00 UTC70.21169.642-0.570DOWN$901Open
2026-08-19 20:00 UTC61.85270.211+8.359UP$274Open
2026-08-19 16:00 UTC58.73661.852+3.116UP$349Open
2026-08-19 12:00 UTC58.16358.736+0.573UP$345Open
2026-08-19 08:00 UTC58.39658.163-0.233DOWN$176Open
2026-08-19 04:00 UTC58.51358.396-0.117DOWN$83Open
2026-08-19 00:00 UTC58.93058.513-0.417DOWN$50Open
2026-08-18 20:00 UTC59.37058.930-0.440DOWN$153Open
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC59.84059.370-0.470DOWN$240Open
2026-08-18 12:00 UTC59.63359.840+0.206UP$115Open
2026-08-18 08:00 UTC59.37859.633+0.255UP$234Open
2026-08-18 04:00 UTC59.42559.378-0.047DOWN$195Open
2026-08-18 00:00 UTC58.96259.425+0.462UP$250Open
2026-08-17 20:00 UTC59.27358.962-0.311DOWN$160Open

> other Hyperliquid windows

Hyperliquid 5mHyperliquid 15mHyperliquid 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downBNB 4h up or down

> how Hyperliquid 4h windows work

Every Hyperliquid 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Hyperliquid pages read from Pyth Hermes, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

HYPE has no Binance spot market and no Chainlink feed, so the price line is Pyth plus the price-to-beat feed and the charts simply hide the missing series.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Hyperliquid 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing