Hyperliquid (HYPE) 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Hyperliquid 15-minute windows, 44% closed UP and 56% DOWN; the median move was 0.089; median volume $40. Across the last 90 days, 2,540 windows resolved, 49% of them UP.

The live HYPE 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowhype-updown-15m-1785814200

Price to beat54.286

Last price · Pyth54.315

Move+0.029

Book leaderDOWN 54%

Closes in--:--

Price line: Pyth. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50: 44% / 56%
UP, last 90 days: 49% of 2540
Current streak: 2 × DOWN
Median move: 0.089
Median volume: $40

> recent results

Resolved Hyperliquid 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window close	Price to beat	Close	Move	Result	Volume	Market
2026-08-04 03:15 UTC	54.278	54.105	-0.173	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-04 03:00 UTC	54.358	54.278	-0.080	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-04 02:45 UTC	54.293	54.358	+0.065	UP	$38	Open
2026-08-04 02:30 UTC	54.369	54.293	-0.077	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-04 02:15 UTC	54.278	54.369	+0.091	UP	—	Open
2026-08-04 02:00 UTC	54.085	54.278	+0.193	UP	—	Open
2026-08-04 01:45 UTC	53.813	54.085	+0.273	UP	$92	Open
2026-08-04 01:30 UTC	53.696	53.813	+0.117	UP	—	Open
2026-08-04 01:15 UTC	53.561	53.696	+0.135	UP	—	Open
2026-08-04 01:00 UTC	53.640	53.561	-0.079	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-04 00:45 UTC	53.782	53.640	-0.141	DOWN	$41	Open
2026-08-04 00:30 UTC	53.860	53.782	-0.078	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-04 00:15 UTC	53.971	53.860	-0.111	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-04 00:00 UTC	53.974	53.971	-0.003	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-03 23:45 UTC	53.983	53.974	-0.009	DOWN	$18	Open
2026-08-03 23:30 UTC	53.898	53.983	+0.085	UP	—	Open
2026-08-03 23:15 UTC	54.006	53.898	-0.108	DOWN	—	Open
2026-08-03 23:00 UTC	53.857	54.006	+0.149	UP	—	Open
2026-08-03 22:45 UTC	53.912	53.857	-0.055	DOWN	$13	Open
2026-08-03 22:30 UTC	53.949	53.912	-0.037	DOWN	—	Open

> other Hyperliquid windows

Hyperliquid 5m Hyperliquid 1h Hyperliquid 4h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 15m up or down Ethereum 15m up or down Solana 15m up or down XRP 15m up or down Dogecoin 15m up or down BNB 15m up or down

> how Hyperliquid 15m windows work

Every Hyperliquid 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the spot price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Hyperliquid pages read from Pyth Hermes, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

HYPE has no Binance spot market and no Chainlink feed, so the price line is Pyth plus the price-to-beat feed and the charts simply hide the missing series.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Hyperliquid 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboard See pricing