Hyperliquid (HYPE) 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Hyperliquid 15-minute windows, 48% closed UP and 52% DOWN; the median move was 0.188; median volume $40. Across the last 90 days, 8,630 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live HYPE 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowhype-updown-15m-1793699100
Price to beat84.121
Last price · Binance84.400
Move+0.279
Book leaderUP 72%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
48% / 52%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 8630
Current streak
5 × UP
Median move
0.188
Median volume
$40

> recent results

Resolved Hyperliquid 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-03 09:45 UTC84.02784.121+0.095UP$35Open
2026-11-03 09:30 UTC83.90084.027+0.127UP$16Open
2026-11-03 09:15 UTC83.46483.900+0.436UP$118Open
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC83.01683.464+0.448UP$10Open
2026-11-03 08:45 UTC83.01183.016+0.005UP$5Open
2026-11-03 08:30 UTC83.53383.011-0.522DOWN—Open
2026-11-03 08:15 UTC83.59983.533-0.066DOWN$119Open
2026-11-03 08:00 UTC83.51283.599+0.087UP$21Open
2026-11-03 07:45 UTC83.77583.512-0.263DOWN$51Open
2026-11-03 07:30 UTC83.41483.775+0.360UP$5Open
2026-11-03 07:15 UTC83.43783.414—UP—Open
2026-11-03 07:00 UTC83.62283.437-0.184DOWN$72Open
2026-11-03 06:45 UTC83.56283.622+0.060UP—Open
2026-11-03 06:30 UTC83.22283.562+0.340UP$82Open
2026-11-03 06:15 UTC83.21383.222—DOWN$41Open
2026-11-03 06:00 UTC83.38983.213-0.176DOWN$87Open
2026-11-03 05:45 UTC83.29083.389+0.099UP$78Open
2026-11-03 05:30 UTC83.48383.290-0.192DOWN—Open
2026-11-03 05:15 UTC83.54483.483-0.062DOWN$171Open
2026-11-03 05:00 UTC83.55383.544-0.009DOWN$6Open

> other Hyperliquid windows

> same window, other assets

> how Hyperliquid 15m windows work

Every Hyperliquid 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the settlement price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Hyperliquid pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open Hyperliquid 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.