Hyperliquid (HYPE) 1-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Hyperliquid 1-hour windows, 62% closed UP and 38% DOWN; the median move was 0.314; median volume $10. Across the last 90 days, 1,043 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live HYPE 1-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 1-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowhype-updown-1h-1789790400
Price to beat93.497
Last price · Pyth80.728
Move-12.769
Book leaderDOWN 90%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Pyth. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 1h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
62% / 38%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 1043
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
0.314
Median volume
$10

> recent results

Resolved Hyperliquid 1h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 02:00 UTC · 10:00 PM ET73.42874.625+1.197UP$9Open
2026-08-21 01:00 UTC · 9:00 PM ET73.77473.462-0.312DOWNOpen
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC · 8:00 PM ET73.60173.790+0.189UP$6Open
2026-08-20 23:00 UTC · 7:00 PM ET74.93273.600-1.332DOWN$12Open
2026-08-20 22:00 UTC · 6:00 PM ET73.90274.933+1.031UP$6Open
2026-08-20 21:00 UTC · 5:00 PM ET72.58973.876+1.287UP$6Open
2026-08-20 20:00 UTC · 4:00 PM ET72.11872.589+0.471UP$6Open
2026-08-20 19:00 UTC · 3:00 PM ET73.62372.117-1.506DOWN$9Open
2026-08-20 18:00 UTC · 2:00 PM ET73.78473.623-0.161DOWN$2Open
2026-08-20 17:00 UTC · 1:00 PM ET73.23373.794+0.561UP$17Open
2026-08-20 16:00 UTC · 12:00 PM ET72.10473.159+1.055UP$12Open
2026-08-20 15:00 UTC · 11:00 AM ET71.87872.108+0.230UP$6Open
2026-08-20 14:00 UTC · 10:00 AM ET71.67271.835+0.163UP$35Open
2026-08-20 13:00 UTC · 9:00 AM ET71.98471.665-0.319DOWN$12Open
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC · 8:00 AM ET72.23171.995-0.236DOWNOpen
2026-08-20 11:00 UTC · 7:00 AM ET73.19572.230-0.965DOWN$23Open
2026-08-20 10:00 UTC · 6:00 AM ET73.14073.194+0.054UP$6Open
2026-08-20 09:00 UTC · 5:00 AM ET72.09872.969+0.871UP$10Open
2026-08-20 08:00 UTC · 4:00 AM ET71.97872.080+0.102UPOpen
2026-08-20 07:00 UTC · 3:00 AM ET71.22771.977+0.750UP$11Open

> other Hyperliquid windows

> same window, other assets

> how Hyperliquid 1h windows work

Every Hyperliquid 1-hour window opens at the top of a UTC hour and closes 3,600 seconds later, 24 windows a day. Polymarket names these markets with an Eastern Time date instead of a UTC one (for example hype-up-or-down-july-9-2026-10am-et), so the market name shifts across US daylight saving changes while the window itself stays on the hour.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Hyperliquid pages read from Pyth Hermes, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

HYPE has no Binance spot market and no Chainlink feed, so the price line is Pyth plus the price-to-beat feed and the charts simply hide the missing series.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 1-hour window holds roughly 12 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open Hyperliquid 1-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.