Bitcoin (BTC) 1-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart
Over the last 50 resolved Bitcoin 1-hour windows, 38% closed UP and 62% DOWN; the median move was 113; median volume $10.4k. Across the last 90 days, 2,155 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.
The live BTC 1-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 1-hour windows resolved.
> live window
Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).
> last 50 resolved 1h windows
- UP / DOWN, last 50
- 38% / 62%
- UP, last 90 days
- 50% of 2155
- Current streak
- 2 × UP
- Median move
- 113
- Median volume
- $10.4k
> recent results
| Window close | Price to beat | Close | Move | Result | Volume | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 11:00 UTC · 6:00 AM ET | 77,071† | 77,133 | +62 | UP | $5.0k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 10:00 UTC · 5:00 AM ET | 76,644† | 77,071 | +427 | UP | $8.0k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 09:00 UTC · 4:00 AM ET | 76,830† | 76,644 | -186 | DOWN | $12.5k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 08:00 UTC · 3:00 AM ET | 76,580† | 76,830 | +250 | UP | $6.5k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 07:00 UTC · 2:00 AM ET | 76,657† | 76,580 | -77 | DOWN | $13.8k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 06:00 UTC · 1:00 AM ET | 76,944† | 76,657 | -288 | DOWN | $12.1k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 05:00 UTC · 12:00 AM ET | 76,937† | 76,944 | +7 | UP | $9.8k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 04:00 UTC · 11:00 PM ET | 76,706† | 76,937 | +231 | UP | $9.9k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 03:00 UTC · 10:00 PM ET | 77,114† | 76,706 | -408 | DOWN | $15.3k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 02:00 UTC · 9:00 PM ET | 77,128† | 77,114 | -14 | DOWN | $20.6k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 01:00 UTC · 8:00 PM ET | 76,816† | 77,128 | +312 | UP | $22.9k | Open |
| 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC · 7:00 PM ET | 76,933† | 76,816 | -117 | DOWN | $11.0k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 23:00 UTC · 6:00 PM ET | 76,838† | 76,933 | +95 | UP | $16.4k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 22:00 UTC · 5:00 PM ET | 76,780† | 76,838 | +58 | UP | $13.1k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 21:00 UTC · 4:00 PM ET | 77,096† | 76,780 | -317 | DOWN | $41.1k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 20:00 UTC · 3:00 PM ET | 77,022† | 77,096 | +74 | UP | $29.2k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 19:00 UTC · 2:00 PM ET | 77,154† | 77,022 | -132 | DOWN | $15.8k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 18:00 UTC · 1:00 PM ET | 77,502† | 77,154 | -348 | DOWN | $27.0k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 17:00 UTC · 12:00 PM ET | 77,519† | 77,502 | -18 | DOWN | $27.5k | Open |
| 2026-11-02 16:00 UTC · 11:00 AM ET | 77,869† | 77,519 | -350 | DOWN | $17.9k | Open |
> other Bitcoin windows
> same window, other assets
> how Bitcoin 1h windows work
Every Bitcoin 1-hour window opens at the top of a UTC hour and closes 3,600 seconds later, 24 windows a day. Polymarket names these markets with an Eastern Time date instead of a UTC one (for example bitcoin-up-or-down-july-9-2026-10am-et), so the market name shifts across US daylight saving changes while the window itself stays on the hour.
> data sources
Bitcoin pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.
Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 1-hour window holds roughly 12 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.
Open Bitcoin 1-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.