Bitcoin (BTC) 5-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Bitcoin 5-minute windows, 62% closed UP and 38% DOWN; the median move was 45; median volume $67. Across the last 90 days, 25,889 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live BTC 5-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 5-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbtc-updown-5m-1793704200
Price to beat77,094
Last price · Binance77,235
Move+142
Book leaderUP 85%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 5m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
62% / 38%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 25889
Current streak
4 × UP
Median move
45
Median volume
$67

> recent results

Resolved Bitcoin 5m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-03 11:10 UTC77,02877,094+65UP$36Open
2026-11-03 11:05 UTC77,00777,028+21UP$286Open
2026-11-03 11:00 UTC76,92377,007+84UP$7Open
2026-11-03 10:55 UTC76,92776,923—UP$1.9kOpen
2026-11-03 10:50 UTC76,94376,927-16DOWN$90Open
2026-11-03 10:45 UTC76,89076,943+53UP$5Open
2026-11-03 10:40 UTC76,89576,890—UP$98Open
2026-11-03 10:35 UTC76,92576,895-30DOWN$63Open
2026-11-03 10:30 UTC76,89076,925+35UP$7Open
2026-11-03 10:25 UTC76,98476,890-94DOWN$67Open
2026-11-03 10:20 UTC76,90476,984+80UP$144Open
2026-11-03 10:15 UTC76,91376,904-9DOWN$112Open
2026-11-03 10:10 UTC76,94976,913-36DOWN$12.2kOpen
2026-11-03 10:05 UTC76,94676,949+3UP$183Open
2026-11-03 10:00 UTC76,91176,946+36UP$10Open
2026-11-03 09:55 UTC76,87276,911+39UP$43Open
2026-11-03 09:50 UTC76,91476,872-42DOWN$931Open
2026-11-03 09:45 UTC76,90076,914+14UP—Open
2026-11-03 09:40 UTC76,77176,900+129UP$2.8kOpen
2026-11-03 09:35 UTC76,78076,771-10DOWN$1.1kOpen

> other Bitcoin windows

> same window, other assets

> how Bitcoin 5m windows work

Every Bitcoin 5-minute window opens on a 5-minute boundary of the UTC clock — :00, :05, :10 and so on — and closes 300 seconds later, so 288 windows run back to back each day. The settlement price at the boundary becomes the price to beat and stays fixed for the rest of the window.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Bitcoin pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, which makes the 5-minute window the shortest record here — a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open Bitcoin 5-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.