Bitcoin (BTC) 5-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Bitcoin 5-minute windows, 44% closed UP and 56% DOWN; the median move was 33; median volume $4. Across the last 90 days, 25,715 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live BTC 5-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 5-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbtc-updown-5m-1785841800
Price to beat63,696
Last price · Binance63,750
Move+54
Book leaderDOWN 78%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 5m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
44% / 56%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 25715
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
33
Median volume
$4

> recent results

Resolved Bitcoin 5m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-04 08:35 UTC63,55863,505-52DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 08:30 UTC63,53463,558+23UP$2Open
2026-08-04 08:25 UTC63,53163,534+4UP$2Open
2026-08-04 08:20 UTC63,58063,531-49DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 08:15 UTC63,60563,580-25DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 08:10 UTC63,65263,605-47DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 08:05 UTC63,61863,652+34UP$12Open
2026-08-04 08:00 UTC63,63363,618-15DOWN$31Open
2026-08-04 07:55 UTC63,67363,633-40DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 07:50 UTC63,59663,673+77UP$4Open
2026-08-04 07:45 UTC63,60563,596-9DOWN$215Open
2026-08-04 07:40 UTC63,61863,605-13DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 07:35 UTC63,57763,618+41UP$2Open
2026-08-04 07:30 UTC63,49663,577+81UP$22Open
2026-08-04 07:25 UTC63,48263,496+14UP$2Open
2026-08-04 07:20 UTC63,52963,482-47DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 07:15 UTC63,57263,529-43DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 07:10 UTC63,60263,572-30DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 07:05 UTC63,61163,602-9DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 07:00 UTC63,60863,611+3UP$2Open

> other Bitcoin windows

Bitcoin 15mBitcoin 1hBitcoin 4h

> same window, other assets

Ethereum 5m up or downSolana 5m up or downXRP 5m up or downDogecoin 5m up or downBNB 5m up or downHyperliquid 5m up or down

> how Bitcoin 5m windows work

Every Bitcoin 5-minute window opens on a 5-minute boundary of the UTC clock — :00, :05, :10 and so on — and closes 300 seconds later, so 288 windows run back to back each day. The spot price at the boundary is captured as the price to beat and stays fixed for the rest of the window.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Bitcoin pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, which makes the 5-minute window the shortest record here — a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points.

Open Bitcoin 5-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

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