Bitcoin (BTC) 5-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved Bitcoin 5-minute windows, 58% closed UP and 42% DOWN; the median move was 97; median volume $35. Across the last 90 days, 17,474 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live BTC 5-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 5-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbtc-updown-5m-1789809000
Price to beat81,431
Last price · Binance81,500
Move+69
Book leaderDOWN 83%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 5m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
58% / 42%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 17474
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
97
Median volume
$35

> recent results

Resolved Bitcoin 5m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 02:45 UTC74,75374,681-72DOWN—Open
2026-08-21 02:40 UTC74,74774,753+6UP—Open
2026-08-21 02:35 UTC74,94074,747-194DOWN$6.4kOpen
2026-08-21 02:30 UTC74,64874,940+293UP—Open
2026-08-21 02:25 UTC74,69574,648-48DOWN$41Open
2026-08-21 02:20 UTC74,84074,695-145DOWN—Open
2026-08-21 02:15 UTC74,88774,840-47DOWN—Open
2026-08-21 02:10 UTC75,03674,887-148DOWN$40Open
2026-08-21 02:05 UTC75,10075,036-64DOWN$1.4kOpen
2026-08-21 02:00 UTC75,34275,100-242DOWN$49Open
2026-08-21 01:55 UTC75,56175,342-219DOWN$35Open
2026-08-21 01:50 UTC74,70975,561+852UP$2.4kOpen
2026-08-21 01:45 UTC74,57474,709+135UP$4Open
2026-08-21 01:40 UTC74,75874,574-184DOWN$19Open
2026-08-21 01:35 UTC74,70174,758+57UP$1.6kOpen
2026-08-21 01:30 UTC74,481†74,701+220UP$29Open
2026-08-21 01:25 UTC74,63174,481-150DOWN$14Open
2026-08-21 01:20 UTC73,95774,631+674UP$7.1kOpen
2026-08-21 01:15 UTC73,90073,957+57UP—Open
2026-08-21 01:10 UTC73,81773,900+83UP$6Open

> other Bitcoin windows

Bitcoin 15mBitcoin 1hBitcoin 4h

> same window, other assets

Ethereum 5m up or downSolana 5m up or downXRP 5m up or downDogecoin 5m up or downBNB 5m up or downHyperliquid 5m up or down

> how Bitcoin 5m windows work

Every Bitcoin 5-minute window opens on a 5-minute boundary of the UTC clock — :00, :05, :10 and so on — and closes 300 seconds later, so 288 windows run back to back each day. The spot price at the boundary is captured as the price to beat and stays fixed for the rest of the window.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

Bitcoin pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, which makes the 5-minute window the shortest record here — a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points.

Open Bitcoin 5-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing