BNB 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved BNB 15-minute windows, 62% closed UP and 38% DOWN; the median move was 0.87; median volume $6. Across the last 90 days, 4,170 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live BNB 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbnb-updown-15m-1789801200
Price to beat761.65
Last price · Binance761.73
Move+0.08
Book leaderDOWN 64%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
62% / 38%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 4170
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
0.87
Median volume
$6

> recent results

Resolved BNB 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 02:45 UTC662.13660.24-1.89DOWN$4Open
2026-08-21 02:30 UTC661.40662.13+0.74UP$2Open
2026-08-21 02:15 UTC661.27661.40+0.13UP$6Open
2026-08-21 02:00 UTC662.68661.27-1.41DOWN$6Open
2026-08-21 01:45 UTC659.75662.68+2.94UP$29Open
2026-08-21 01:30 UTC657.44659.75+2.31UP$2Open
2026-08-21 01:15 UTC656.61657.44+0.82UPOpen
2026-08-21 01:00 UTC655.73656.61+0.88UP$29Open
2026-08-21 00:45 UTC655.29655.73+0.44UP$109Open
2026-08-21 00:30 UTC654.77655.29+0.53UPOpen
2026-08-21 00:15 UTC654.59654.77+0.18UP$2Open
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC655.41654.59-0.82DOWN$4Open
2026-08-20 23:45 UTC657.15655.41-1.74DOWNOpen
2026-08-20 23:30 UTC655.71657.15+1.44UP$29Open
2026-08-20 23:15 UTC653.69655.71+2.03UPOpen
2026-08-20 23:00 UTC654.56653.69-0.87DOWNOpen
2026-08-20 22:45 UTC654.88654.56-0.32DOWNOpen
2026-08-20 22:30 UTC653.47654.88+1.41UPOpen
2026-08-20 22:15 UTC653.78653.47-0.32DOWN$4Open
2026-08-20 22:00 UTC653.04653.78+0.74UPOpen

> other BNB windows

> same window, other assets

> how BNB 15m windows work

Every BNB 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the spot price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

BNB pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

BNB is not listed on Binance.US, so the Binance series comes from the global venue only.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open BNB 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.