BNB 15-Minute Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved BNB 15-minute windows, 46% closed UP and 54% DOWN; the median move was 0.38; median volume $63. Across the last 90 days, 2,551 windows resolved, 50% of them UP.

The live BNB 15-minute window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 15-minute windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbnb-updown-15m-1785824100
Price to beat590.31
Last price · Binance590.73
Move+0.42
Book leaderDOWN 58%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 15m windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
46% / 54%
UP, last 90 days
50% of 2551
Current streak
1 × DOWN
Median move
0.38
Median volume
$63

> recent results

Resolved BNB 15m windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-04 06:00 UTC589.70589.15-0.54DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 05:45 UTC589.65589.70+0.04UP$55Open
2026-08-04 05:30 UTC589.93589.65-0.28DOWN$10Open
2026-08-04 05:15 UTC591.45589.93-1.52DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 05:00 UTC591.73591.45-0.28DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 04:45 UTC590.84591.73+0.89UP$73Open
2026-08-04 04:30 UTC590.06590.84+0.77UPOpen
2026-08-04 04:15 UTC590.24590.06-0.18DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 04:00 UTC590.71590.24-0.46DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 03:45 UTC590.31590.71+0.39UP$49Open
2026-08-04 03:30 UTC589.76590.31+0.56UPOpen
2026-08-04 03:15 UTC590.44589.76-0.68DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 03:00 UTC590.71590.44-0.27DOWN$2Open
2026-08-04 02:45 UTC590.23590.71+0.48UP$82Open
2026-08-04 02:30 UTC590.47590.23-0.24DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 02:15 UTC591.62590.47-1.15DOWNOpen
2026-08-04 02:00 UTC591.49591.62+0.12UPOpen
2026-08-04 01:45 UTC589.11591.49+2.39UP$151Open
2026-08-04 01:30 UTC588.91589.11+0.19UPOpen
2026-08-04 01:15 UTC588.39588.91+0.52UP$10Open

> other BNB windows

> same window, other assets

> how BNB 15m windows work

Every BNB 15-minute window opens at :00, :15, :30 or :45 UTC and closes 900 seconds later, 96 windows a day with no gap between them. The price to beat is the spot price at the quarter-hour boundary and does not move once the window is open.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

BNB pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

BNB is not listed on Binance.US, so the Binance series comes from the global venue only.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 15-minute window holds roughly 3 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open BNB 15-minute in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.