BNB 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved BNB 4-hour windows, 54% closed UP and 46% DOWN; the median move was 1.31; median volume $234. Across the last 90 days, 261 windows resolved, 53% of them UP.

The live BNB 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbnb-updown-4h-1789790400
Price to beat759.28
Last price · Binance761.31
Move+2.03
Book leaderUP 64%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
54% / 46%
UP, last 90 days
53% of 261
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
1.31
Median volume
$234

> recent results

Resolved BNB 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-21 00:00 UTC650.23654.59+4.36UP$178Open
2026-08-20 20:00 UTC652.16650.23-1.93DOWN$538Open
2026-08-20 16:00 UTC645.34652.16+6.82UP$708Open
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC629.92645.34+15.42UP$527Open
2026-08-20 08:00 UTC625.98629.92+3.94UP$655Open
2026-08-20 04:00 UTC627.14625.98-1.16DOWN$223Open
2026-08-20 00:00 UTC616.37627.14+10.76UP$362Open
2026-08-19 20:00 UTC616.31616.37+0.06UP$567Open
2026-08-19 16:00 UTC602.30616.31+14.01UP$528Open
2026-08-19 12:00 UTC601.32602.30+0.98UP$266Open
2026-08-19 08:00 UTC601.46601.32-0.14DOWN$261Open
2026-08-19 04:00 UTC603.57601.46-2.11DOWN$355Open
2026-08-19 00:00 UTC602.62603.57+0.94UP$275Open
2026-08-18 20:00 UTC602.96602.62-0.34DOWN$90Open
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC601.50602.96+1.46UP$363Open
2026-08-18 12:00 UTC602.73601.50-1.23DOWN$276Open
2026-08-18 08:00 UTC602.99602.73-0.27DOWN$243Open
2026-08-18 04:00 UTC605.23602.99-2.24DOWN$187Open
2026-08-18 00:00 UTC604.69605.23+0.54UP$100Open
2026-08-17 20:00 UTC606.52604.69-1.83DOWN$333Open

> other BNB windows

BNB 5mBNB 15mBNB 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how BNB 4h windows work

Every BNB 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

BNB pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

BNB is not listed on Binance.US, so the Binance series comes from the global venue only.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open BNB 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

Open dashboardSee pricing