BNB 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved BNB 4-hour windows, 46% closed UP and 54% DOWN; the median move was 3.72; median volume $119. Across the last 90 days, 526 windows resolved, 52% of them UP.

The live BNB 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbnb-updown-4h-1793692800
First Chainlink tick—
Last price—
Move vs Chainlink—
Book leader—
Closes in--:--

Waiting for the first prices of this window

Price line: no feed yet. Dashed line: our first Chainlink tick — reference only, not the settlement price.

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
46% / 54%
UP, last 90 days
52% of 526
Current streak
2 × DOWN
Median move
3.72
Median volume
$119

> recent results

Resolved BNB 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-11-01 04:00 UTC702.80702.43-0.37DOWN$217Open
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC705.08702.80-2.28DOWN$103Open
2026-10-31 20:00 UTC704.45705.08+0.63UP$193Open
2026-10-31 16:00 UTC704.43704.45+0.03UP$111Open
2026-10-31 12:00 UTC699.20704.43+5.23UP$249Open
2026-10-31 08:00 UTC703.59699.20-4.39DOWN$228Open
2026-10-31 04:00 UTC703.35703.59+0.23UP$188Open
2026-10-31 00:00 UTC699.54703.35+3.82UP$395Open
2026-10-30 20:00 UTC699.07699.54+0.47UP$196Open
2026-10-30 16:00 UTC699.03699.07+0.04UP$318Open
2026-10-30 12:00 UTC706.96699.03-7.93DOWN$65Open
2026-10-30 08:00 UTC717.99706.96-11.03DOWN$251Open
2026-10-30 04:00 UTC696.72717.99+21.27UP$409Open
2026-10-30 00:00 UTC744.01696.72-47.29DOWN$784Open
2026-10-29 20:00 UTC749.25744.01-5.24DOWN$29Open
2026-10-29 16:00 UTC738.95749.25+10.31UP$90Open
2026-10-29 12:00 UTC747.47738.95-8.52DOWN$23Open
2026-10-29 08:00 UTC745.92747.47+1.55UP$30Open
2026-10-29 04:00 UTC758.93745.92-13.01DOWN$53Open
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC754.58758.93+4.35UP$445Open

> other BNB windows

> same window, other assets

> how BNB 4h windows work

Every BNB 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

BNB pages read from Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

BNB is not listed on Binance.US, so the Binance series comes from the global venue only.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

How prices are recorded and how each window resolves

Open BNB 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.