BNB 4-Hour Up or Down — Live Polymarket Chart

Over the last 50 resolved BNB 4-hour windows, 56% closed UP and 44% DOWN; the median move was 2.29; median volume $142. Across the last 90 days, 155 windows resolved, 51% of them UP.

The live BNB 4-hour window on Polymarket, its price to beat, and how the last 4-hour windows resolved.

> live window

Windowbnb-updown-4h-1785744000
Price to beat582.94
Last price · Binance587.53
Move+4.59
Book leaderUP 98%
Closes in--:--

Price line: Binance. Dashed line: Polymarket settlement open (crypto-price API).

> last 50 resolved 4h windows

UP / DOWN, last 50
56% / 44%
UP, last 90 days
51% of 155
Current streak
1 × UP
Median move
2.29
Median volume
$142

> recent results

Resolved BNB 4h windows, newest first. Price to beat is the window open Polymarket settled against (its crypto-price API), and Move is Close minus that open. A dagger marks a window where our own first Chainlink tick differed from it; a dash in Move means the move was smaller than the stored price precision.
Window closePrice to beatCloseMoveResultVolumeMarket
2026-08-03 08:00 UTC582.34582.94+0.59UP$364Open
2026-08-03 04:00 UTC587.80582.34-5.45DOWN$342Open
2026-08-03 00:00 UTC588.73587.80-0.93DOWN$88Open
2026-08-02 20:00 UTC585.62588.73+3.10UP$16Open
2026-08-02 16:00 UTC581.51585.62+4.11UP$108Open
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC584.90581.51-3.39DOWN$23Open
2026-08-02 08:00 UTC581.68584.90+3.22UP$16Open
2026-08-02 04:00 UTC574.59581.68+7.09UP$142Open
2026-08-02 00:00 UTC575.22574.59-0.64DOWN$43Open
2026-08-01 20:00 UTC575.77575.22-0.54DOWN$38Open
2026-08-01 16:00 UTC579.66575.77-3.89DOWN$93Open
2026-08-01 12:00 UTC589.50579.66-9.84DOWN$338Open
2026-08-01 08:00 UTC588.76589.50+0.74UP$38Open
2026-08-01 04:00 UTC586.42588.76+2.34UP$165Open
2026-08-01 00:00 UTC587.53586.42-1.12DOWN$108Open
2026-07-31 20:00 UTC584.72587.53+2.81UP$53Open
2026-07-31 16:00 UTC591.44584.72-6.72DOWN$160Open
2026-07-31 12:00 UTC589.24591.44+2.20UP—Open
2026-07-31 08:00 UTC588.85589.24+0.39UP$288Open
2026-07-31 04:00 UTC591.49588.85-2.64DOWN$23Open

> other BNB windows

BNB 5mBNB 15mBNB 1h

> same window, other assets

Bitcoin 4h up or downEthereum 4h up or downSolana 4h up or downXRP 4h up or downDogecoin 4h up or downHyperliquid 4h up or down

> how BNB 4h windows work

Every BNB 4-hour window opens at 00:00, 04:00, 08:00, 12:00, 16:00 or 20:00 UTC and closes 14,400 seconds later, only 6 windows a day. One window spans as much clock time as 48 of the 5-minute ones, so the price has far more room to travel and come back before the close is taken.

What is a Polymarket up or down market?

> data sources

BNB pages read from Pyth Hermes, Binance, Chainlink, the Polymarket CLOB order book and the Polymarket price-to-beat feed.

BNB is not listed on Binance.US, so the Binance series comes from the global venue only.

Sampling cadence is the same on every timeframe, so a 4-hour window holds roughly 48 times as many recorded points as a 5-minute one.

Open BNB 4-hour in the trading dashboard, or compare what each plan unlocks across all 28 markets.

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